TY - JOUR T1 - Surge and decline, negative voting, and the midterm loss phenomenon: A simultaneous choice analysis AU - Born, Richard PY - 1990 SP - 615 EP - 645 JO - American Journal of Political Science VL - 34 IS - 3 SN - 0092-5853 UR - http://www.jstor.org/stable/2111391 ER -